What everyone should know about risk assessment
What is the minimum amount of knowledge that professionals should have about risk assessment, given the vast size of this field? Risk affects reputations, safety, profitability ...
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Scenario analysis is all about alternative worlds and parallel universes and may include black swans, but stops short of meteor strikes. Confused? Read on and we’ll find out what’s going on together. The name itself is a good place to start. Our aim is to evaluate risk for a particular plan of action according to different scenarios or situations that could arise as our plan unfolds. A key point to remember is that scenario analysis like this is not dependent on past results (in other words, it is not a prognosis); although some people use measures like the standard deviation of past results to provide a framework within which to construct plausible future scenarios.
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