Blogs
Learn from others to see how Analytica has helped organizations of all shapes and sizes gain valuable insights to make more informed decisions.
Select the categories below to see industry specific examples, different tools and methodologies, gain access to open-sourced models, learn about spreadsheet conversions, integrations, modeling tips and so much more!
Early COVID-19 decay rates for countries that have peaked
In previous articles [C20a, H20], my colleague and I have written about how the number of cases and deaths from COVID-19 follows a triangle shape over time when plotted with...
Adjusting the Santa Clara County COVID-19 Antibody testing study results for self-selection bias
The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is one of the most important parameters for mathematical models of the pandemic, yet it remains largely a mystery because we don’t...
The Suppression Triangle for COVID-19: How soon can we end the lockdown?
The COVID-19 pandemic has given many people a crash course in the frightening implications of rapid exponential growth in cases and deaths – what some people call “J-curves”...
A critique of the HealthData.org COVID-19 model, and how it works
On 26-March-2020, researchers at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington published their first COVID-19 forecast [IMHE20a]...
Suppression strategy and updated forecast for US deaths from COVID-19 Coronavirus in 2020
Two weeks ago in the article “Estimating US Deaths from COVID-19 Coronavirus in 2020” [C20b], I developed a probabilistic forecast for the number of people in the US who will ...
How social isolation impacts COVID-19 spread in the US: A Markov model approach
On Monday of this week, the Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team released an influential report that forecasts how social isolation measures for mitigation and suppression...
Estimating US Deaths from COVID-19 Coronavirus in 2020
In this posting, I am taking on the morbid challenge of forecasting how many people in the US will die from the COVID-19 coronavirus in the year 2020.
The mortality rate of the Wuhan coronavirus
It has only been about a month since the new strain of a coronavirus appeared in the city of Wuhan, Hubei province, China. Yet it seems that the rapid growth of confirmed cases...
