Author: Rob Brown

Understand the value of acknowledging uncertainties in your models. Learn how recognizing unknowns can enhance decision-making and model reliability.

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Over the holidays, the New York Times delivered an unusual juxtaposition of headlines and content, and apparent lack of self-awareness, to illicit such a hearty chuckle from…

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In my last post, I discussed the meaning of expected value (EV) and how it’s useful for comparing the values of choices we could make when the outcomes we face with each choice …

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When helping people analyze the risks they face in complex decisions, I frequently receive requests for an explanation of expected value, as expected value is a measure commonly …

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The universe has always possessed the language it needs to conduct its own affairs. I don’t think it could be otherwise. Because my daughter participates in competitive figure …

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A trip to Vegas, an evil clown, a bizarre coin, and a minister. “What could go wrong?” I commented in a footnote of an earlier post that one of my favorite – no, morally obligated …

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You would be shocked to learn how fast you can make it to the bottom of a lake with a cinder block tied to your leg. I know this rate, by my own empirical investigation, to be …

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I was a whiz kid in college. You know, the kind of kid my professors wanted to whiz on. The reason: I was quick to argue, often too quick. College presented a very competitive …

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